Says who? That well-known conservative media outlet known as The New York Times. According to the Times, Noem has a 70.7 percent chance of winning and Stephanie Herseth Sandlin has a 29.3 percent chance.
That is the “chance that each candidate will win based on 100,000 simulations with random variation in the local and national political environment,” according to the Times.
The Times, long a target of Republicans and conservatives, is forecasting a 50.9-47 percent win for Noem. That’s as of today. Those numbers are “based on polling, expert forecasts, fundraising, past election returns and other indicators.”
Want to read it and rejoice or look at it and curse at the data? Here’s a link: http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/house/south-dakota/1